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Download our free and easy app for Apple/iPhone devices or Android (Google Play) to compete against legions of other fans plus our experts and editors for best prediction accuracy scores. Rian Johnson, “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” Possible Contenders (in alphabetical order) Peter Farrelly, “The Greatest Beer Run Ever” Strong Contenders (in alphabetical order) Martin Scorsese, “Killers of the Flower Moon” (may move to 2023) Martin McDonagh, “The Banshees of Inisherin” James Cameron, “Avatar: The Way of Water”ĭaniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert, “Everything Everywhere All at Once” Leading Contenders (in alphabetical order) Please note: To read full descriptions of each film, check out our 2023 Oscars Best Picture predictions.ĭISCUSS All the Oscar contenders with Hollywood insiders in our notorious forums
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So, who is making that kind of movie this year? When it comes to Best Director, bigger is better. Indeed, six of the last 10 films that won Oscars for helming also took home the lensing prize. As with “The Revenant,” this also was a bravura directorial achievement and had strong support throughout the creative categories.

Inarritu also won Best Director for a film that took the top Academy Award: “Birdman” (2015). In 2019 Alfonso Cuaron won Best Director for “Roma” only to see his film eclipsed in the top race by “Green Book.” That had happened to Cuaron in 2014 as well when he won for “Gravity” but Best Picture went to “12 Years a Slave.” And while Ang Lee (“Life of Pi”), Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu (“The Revenant”) and Damien Chazelle (“La La Land”) all won the Best Director Oscar, their films lost to “Argo” (2013), “Spotlight” (2016) and “Moonlight” (2017) respectively. In 2022, Jane Campion won Best Director for “The Power of the Dog” but “CODA” was named Best Picture. With two different voting systems, it’s easy to understand how this split happens so often.

The goal, says the academy, is to award the Best Picture award to a consensus choice. This process continues until one nominee reaches 50% plus one vote.

If, however, no nominee crosses that threshold, the film with the fewest first-place votes is eliminated, with its ballots being reapportioned to the second-place pick. If one contender garners more than 50% of the first-place votes, it wins. While voters simply check one nominee in those other races, when it comes to Best Picture they are asked to rank all the nominees. The winner of Best Picture is now determined by a weighted ballot while the other 22 races, including Best Director, are decided by a popular vote. Why the change? ( Scroll down for the most up-to-date 2023 Oscars Best Director predictions.) Prior to this such splits were fairly rare. Over the ensuing 13 years, there has been a difference between the winners of that award and Best Director at six Academy Awards ceremonies. In 2010 the academy reintroduced the preferential ballot to decide the Best Picture winner.
